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Will Xi visit the US before May?
ResolvedOutcome: No
Post-mortem
Smart money called it unanimously
2 of 2 tracked traders on No
Cohort P&L on this market
$0.02
Outcomes
No
100¢
How they were positioned (2)
See full smart-money consensus →net lean100% YES leanYES notional$8NO notional$0traders2