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Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
ResolvedOutcome: No
Post-mortem
Smart money mostly called it
2 of 3 tracked traders on No · 1 on another outcome
Cohort P&L on this market
-$427.30
Outcomes
No
33¢
How they were positioned (3)
See full smart-money consensus →net lean18% YES leanYES notional$4.0kNO notional$2.8ktraders2