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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

resolvedCrypto27 tracked tradestrade on Polymarket ↗last activity 2h ago
ResolvedOutcome: Up
Post-mortem
Smart money mostly called it
9 of 16 tracked traders on Up · 7 on other outcomes
Cohort P&L on this market
-$336.64
Read the post-mortem →

Outcomes

Up
98¢
Down
30¢

How they were positioned (16)

See full smart-money consensus →
net lean92% YES leanYES notional$2.6kNO notional$110traders12
BUY0xbadb…31a7Downsize$1000avg39¢pnl-$393.03
BUY0xf01f…c58aUpsize$306avg98¢pnl$6.00
BUYmorebyBTC0xee43…21f9Upsize$234avg75¢pnl$59.08
BUYfhiu2eh9nb0x5ffc…0bc2Upsize$202avg99¢pnl$2.02
BUYisthistaken0x156b…5808Upsize$199avg77¢pnl$45.90
BUYTeshy6660x857e…1ddcDownsize$150avg47¢pnl-$71.00
BUYmo-money0x32ed…8ec3Downsize$141avg30¢pnl-$41.86
BUY0xc547…7b30Downsize$120avg44¢pnl-$52.80
SELL0xbadb…31a7Downsize$100avg68¢pnl$68.00
BUY0xc547…7b30Upsize$60avg62¢pnl$22.80
BUYpositionx0x66af…7af1Upsize$53avg98¢pnl$1.06
BUY0xae77…fa72Upsize$51avg98¢pnl$1.03
BUYsupperlend0x8927…1f52Upsize$40avg71¢pnl$11.50
SELL0xa855…3a4eDownsize$10avg39¢pnl$3.90
BUY0xa855…3a4eUpsize$5avg59¢pnl$2.05
BUY0xa855…3a4eDownsize$5avg26¢pnl-$1.30