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Smart-money consensus

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?

cohort holds Yes·2 traders·$207.93 committed·avg entry 77¢·formed within 85m
Still actionable?
0.00trader 0.769 · mkt 0.832 · drift 6.2%1.00
cohort entry 77¢ current 83¢

current price is 6.2pp above the cohort’s avg entry — entering now costs more than they paid. Not financial advice.

Per-trader positions

the agreeing cohort, largest position first · entry = their size-weighted avg on this outcome

0x3b8b…2ef7BUYentry 81¢$161.07
Deepcoin0x6b36…0d4bBUYentry 64¢$46.86
How this is computed. A consensus is when multiple tracked traders independently hold the same outcome on a market. We show the agreeing cohort’s per-trader entries from observed public positions — not full-market depth, and not a recommendation. On the board, the bar length is this market’s committed cohort size vs the largest on the board; its color is open / resolved-won / resolved-lost. Information only — not financial advice.