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Smart-money consensus

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

cohort holds Yes·2 traders·$854.29 committed·avg entry 63¢·formed within 1m
Still actionable?
0.00trader 0.630 · mkt 0.550 · drift 8.0%1.00
cohort entry 63¢ current 55¢

current price is 8.0pp below the cohort’s avg entry — cheaper than they entered. Not financial advice.

Per-trader positions

the agreeing cohort, largest position first · entry = their size-weighted avg on this outcome

Ko9science0xd7be…539fBUYentry 63¢$500.00
g941ax6g1xpk0x72f7…4345BUYentry 63¢$354.29
How this is computed. A consensus is when multiple tracked traders independently hold the same outcome on a market. We show the agreeing cohort’s per-trader entries from observed public positions — not full-market depth, and not a recommendation. On the board, the bar length is this market’s committed cohort size vs the largest on the board; its color is open / resolved-won / resolved-lost. Information only — not financial advice.