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Smart-money consensus

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

cohort holds Yes·2 traders·$838.35 committed·avg entry 14¢·formed within 4289m
Still actionable?
0.00trader 0.136 · mkt 0.055 · drift 8.1%1.00
cohort entry 14¢ current

current price is 8.1pp below the cohort’s avg entry — cheaper than they entered. Not financial advice.

Per-trader positions

the agreeing cohort, largest position first · entry = their size-weighted avg on this outcome

KING-VIP230xfd66…fb6dBUYentry 12¢$611.00
coali100x7bc1…8db4BUYentry 18¢$227.35
How this is computed. A consensus is when multiple tracked traders independently hold the same outcome on a market. We show the agreeing cohort’s per-trader entries from observed public positions — not full-market depth, and not a recommendation. On the board, the bar length is this market’s committed cohort size vs the largest on the board; its color is open / resolved-won / resolved-lost. Information only — not financial advice.