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Smart-money consensus

Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-25?

cohort holds Yes·4 traders·$68.51 committed·avg entry 20¢·formed within 3m
Still actionable?
0.00trader 0.197 · mkt 0.110 · drift 8.7%1.00
cohort entry 20¢ current 11¢

current price is 8.7pp below the cohort’s avg entry — cheaper than they entered. Not financial advice.

Per-trader positions

the agreeing cohort, largest position first · entry = their size-weighted avg on this outcome

swisstony0x204f…5e14BUYentry 21¢$27.39
0x076d…8d4cBUYentry 23¢$20.00
suntori0xe907…cff6SELLentry $11.12
RN10x2005…75eaBUYentry 24¢$10.00
How this is computed. A consensus is when multiple tracked traders independently hold the same outcome on a market. We show the agreeing cohort’s per-trader entries from observed public positions — not full-market depth, and not a recommendation. On the board, the bar length is this market’s committed cohort size vs the largest on the board; its color is open / resolved-won / resolved-lost. Information only — not financial advice.