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Smart-money consensus

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

cohort holds Yes·3 traders·$4.98k committed·avg entry 61¢·formed within 3m
Still actionable?
0.00trader 0.610 · mkt 0.605 · drift 0.5%1.00
cohort entry 61¢ current 61¢

current price is near the cohort’s avg entry — the setup still looks comparable to theirs. Not financial advice.

Per-trader positions

the agreeing cohort, largest position first · entry = their size-weighted avg on this outcome

mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63BUYentry 61¢$4.60k
suntori0xe907…cff6BUYentry 61¢$214.84
Freerider1370xf2a6…3dd1BUYentry 61¢$163.93
How this is computed. A consensus is when multiple tracked traders independently hold the same outcome on a market. We show the agreeing cohort’s per-trader entries from observed public positions — not full-market depth, and not a recommendation. On the board, the bar length is this market’s committed cohort size vs the largest on the board; its color is open / resolved-won / resolved-lost. Information only — not financial advice.