← Consensus boardHow this is computed. A consensus is when multiple tracked traders independently hold the same outcome on a market. We show the agreeing cohort’s per-trader entries from observed public positions — not full-market depth, and not a recommendation. On the board, the bar length is this market’s committed cohort size vs the largest on the board; its color is open / resolved-won / resolved-lost. Information only — not financial advice.
Smart-money consensus
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
cohort holds Yes·2 traders·$11.6k committed·avg entry 40¢·formed within 2406m
Still actionable?
0.00trader 0.400 · mkt 0.555 · drift 15.5%1.00
■ cohort entry 40¢■ current 56¢
current price is 15.5pp above the cohort’s avg entry — entering now costs more than they paid. Not financial advice.
Per-trader positions
the agreeing cohort, largest position first · entry = their size-weighted avg on this outcome