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Smart-money consensus

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 18?

cohort holds Yes·2 traders·$62.07 committed·avg entry 16¢·formed within 71m
Still actionable?
0.00trader 0.160 · mkt 0.135 · drift 2.5%1.00
cohort entry 16¢ current 14¢

current price is near the cohort’s avg entry — the setup still looks comparable to theirs. Not financial advice.

Per-trader positions

the agreeing cohort, largest position first · entry = their size-weighted avg on this outcome

suntori0xe907…cff6SELLentry 15¢$49.28
twentytwotwentytwo0x4699…695aBUYentry 31¢$6.40
twentytwotwentytwo0x4699…695aSELLentry 11¢$6.39
How this is computed. A consensus is when multiple tracked traders independently hold the same outcome on a market. We show the agreeing cohort’s per-trader entries from observed public positions — not full-market depth, and not a recommendation. On the board, the bar length is this market’s committed cohort size vs the largest on the board; its color is open / resolved-won / resolved-lost. Information only — not financial advice.