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Smart-money consensus

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

cohort holds Yes·2 traders·$2.65k committed·avg entry 31¢·formed within 18m
Still actionable?
0.00trader 0.310 · mkt 0.305 · drift 0.5%1.00
cohort entry 31¢ current 31¢

current price is near the cohort’s avg entry — the setup still looks comparable to theirs. Not financial advice.

Per-trader positions

the agreeing cohort, largest position first · entry = their size-weighted avg on this outcome

neutralwave230x5b63…11a4BUYentry 31¢$1.57k
purplegatto0x032e…2a9eBUYentry 31¢$1.07k
How this is computed. A consensus is when multiple tracked traders independently hold the same outcome on a market. We show the agreeing cohort’s per-trader entries from observed public positions — not full-market depth, and not a recommendation. On the board, the bar length is this market’s committed cohort size vs the largest on the board; its color is open / resolved-won / resolved-lost. Information only — not financial advice.