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Smart-money consensus

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

cohort holds Yes·2 traders·$7.00k committed·avg entry 68¢·formed within 829m
Still actionable?
0.00trader 0.677 · mkt 0.562 · drift 11.5%1.00
cohort entry 68¢ current 56¢

current price is 11.5pp below the cohort’s avg entry — cheaper than they entered. Not financial advice.

Per-trader positions

the agreeing cohort, largest position first · entry = their size-weighted avg on this outcome

Marco-Rubio0xd67b…5780BUYentry 67¢$3.87k
Oriolrq0x9014…5b73BUYentry 71¢$2.21k
Marco-Rubio0xd67b…5780SELLentry 62¢$926.05
How this is computed. A consensus is when multiple tracked traders independently hold the same outcome on a market. We show the agreeing cohort’s per-trader entries from observed public positions — not full-market depth, and not a recommendation. On the board, the bar length is this market’s committed cohort size vs the largest on the board; its color is open / resolved-won / resolved-lost. Information only — not financial advice.