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Smart-money consensus

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

cohort holds Yes·5 traders·$39.9k committed·avg entry 78¢·formed within 2815m
Still actionable?
0.00trader 0.778 · mkt 0.772 · drift 0.6%1.00
cohort entry 78¢ current 77¢

current price is near the cohort’s avg entry — the setup still looks comparable to theirs. Not financial advice.

Per-trader positions

the agreeing cohort, largest position first · entry = their size-weighted avg on this outcome

0x8f4f…80b1BUYentry 78¢$8.20k
0x3241…0a3dBUYentry 78¢$8.14k
0x7a91…7429BUYentry 78¢$8.14k
0xd882…9a01BUYentry 78¢$8.11k
0x2e5d…57a2BUYentry 78¢$7.26k
0xd882…9a01SELLentry 78¢$9.00
How this is computed. A consensus is when multiple tracked traders independently hold the same outcome on a market. We show the agreeing cohort’s per-trader entries from observed public positions — not full-market depth, and not a recommendation. On the board, the bar length is this market’s committed cohort size vs the largest on the board; its color is open / resolved-won / resolved-lost. Information only — not financial advice.