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Smart-money consensus

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?

cohort holds Yes·3 traders·$442.71 committed·avg entry 82¢·formed within 90m
Still actionable?
0.00trader 0.821 · mkt 0.875 · drift 5.4%1.00
cohort entry 82¢ current 88¢

current price is 5.4pp above the cohort’s avg entry — entering now costs more than they paid. Not financial advice.

Per-trader positions

the agreeing cohort, largest position first · entry = their size-weighted avg on this outcome

0xe514…e312BUYentry 87¢$324.85
0xe514…e312SELLentry 69¢$104.00
0x9e3e…f882BUYentry 77¢$8.38
twentytwotwentytwo0x4699…695aSELLentry 66¢$4.05
twentytwotwentytwo0x4699…695aBUYentry 70¢$1.43
How this is computed. A consensus is when multiple tracked traders independently hold the same outcome on a market. We show the agreeing cohort’s per-trader entries from observed public positions — not full-market depth, and not a recommendation. On the board, the bar length is this market’s committed cohort size vs the largest on the board; its color is open / resolved-won / resolved-lost. Information only — not financial advice.